Germaine de Randamie vs Yana Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record17-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
71"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Germaine de RandamieYana Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yana Santos62%
Germaine de Randamie 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Yana Santos a 62% favorite over Germaine de Randamie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Germaine de Randamie's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1661), separated by just 6 points.
Yana Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Germaine de Randamie finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Yana Santos 47%.
Germaine de Randamie and Yana Santos share 2 common opponents: Aspen Ladd and Holly Holm.
Germaine de Randamie carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.