Combat Edge Intelligence

Geronimo dos Santos vs Marc Doussis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

44-26-1Record10-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReach75.6"
265 lbsWeight256 lbs
Hard FightTeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Geronimo dos SantosNow 1565
If they win+12→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1553
Marc DoussisNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Geronimo dos SantosMarc Doussis
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

31 (72%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
8 (19%)
Submission
5 (50%)
4 (9%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Marc Doussis73%
Geronimo dos Santos 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marc Doussis a 73% favorite over Geronimo dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1566), separated by just 1 points.

Geronimo dos Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Geronimo dos Santos finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Marc Doussis 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.