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Combat Edge Intelligence

Geronimo dos Santos vs Raphael Pessoa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

44-26-1Record10-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
TBDReach78″
265 lbsWeight247 lbs
Hard FightTeamTop Brother MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Geronimo dos SantosNow 1564
If they win+12→ 1576
If they lose-12→ 1552
Raphael PessoaNow 1565
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
Not available
Strike accuracy
27%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.43
Not available
Strike defense
42%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Geronimo dos SantosRaphael Pessoa
155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

31 (72%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
8 (19%)
Submission
1 (10%)
4 (9%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Raphael Pessoa60%
Geronimo dos Santos 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Raphael Pessoa a 60% favorite over Geronimo dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1565), separated by just 1 points.

Geronimo dos Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Raphael Pessoa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Geronimo dos Santos finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Pessoa 70%.

Geronimo dos Santos and Raphael Pessoa share 1 common opponent: Adam Bogatyrev.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Loss Ground & Pound · 2021
Adam Bogatyrev
Loss Ground & Pound · 2022