Geronimo dos Santos vs Terrance Chatman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
44-26-1Record5-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReach76"
265 lbsWeight266 lbs
Hard FightTeam4oz. Fight Club· 1653 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1576
If they lose-12→ 1552
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Geronimo dos SantosTerrance Chatman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Terrance Chatman79%
Geronimo dos Santos 21%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Terrance Chatman a 79% favorite over Geronimo dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Geronimo dos Santos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1564), separated by just 0 points.
Geronimo dos Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Geronimo dos Santos finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Terrance Chatman 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.