Gerric Hayes vs Jorge Chacon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-11-0Record0-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
Bonafyde MMATeam
What's at stake
Jorge Chacon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Gerric Hayes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1470
If they lose-15→ 1438
If they win+22→ 1500
If they lose-26→ 1452
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gerric HayesJorge Chacon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jorge Chacon84%
Gerric Hayes 16%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Chacon a 84% favorite over Gerric Hayes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Jorge Chacon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1453, a 25-point edge.
Gerric Hayes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gerric Hayes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.