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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerry Harris vs Paul Varelans

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Varelans
us

Paul Varelans

“The Polar Bear”

9-9-0Super HeavyweightRINGS

1508Average

Tale of the tape

1-4-0Record9-9-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'8"Height6'8"
TBDReachTBD
313 lbsWeight300 lbs
Team

What's at stake

Paul Varelans is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Gerry Harris carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gerry HarrisNow 1431
If they win+29→ 1460
If they lose-19→ 1412
Paul VarelansNow 1508
If they win+13→ 1521
If they lose-19→ 1489

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Gerry HarrisPaul Varelans
1400145015001550199619971998

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
1 (100%)
Submission
2 (22%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Paul Varelans58%
Gerry Harris 42%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Paul Varelans a 58% favorite over Gerry Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Paul Varelans holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1508 to 1431, a 77-point edge.

Paul Varelans 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.