Gervonta Davis vs Pedro Ribeiro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-0-1Record2-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'5"Height6'0"
67"Reach-
135 LBSWeight155 lbs
TGB PromotionsTeamCT Punch Fight Team
What's at stake
Pedro Ribeiro is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Gervonta Davis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1525
If they lose-23→ 1477
If they win+23→ 1541
If they lose-25→ 1493
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
TBDPre-fight Elo1519 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Ribeiro66%
Gervonta Davis 34%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Ribeiro a 66% favorite over Gervonta Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Pedro Ribeiro holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1518 to 1500, a 18-point edge.
Gervonta Davis finishes 93% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.