Combat Edge Intelligence

Gesias Cavalcante vs Vener Galiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-12-1Record38-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
BlackziliansTeamRaty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gesias CavalcanteNow 1660
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648
Vener GalievNow 1661
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gesias CavalcanteVener Galiev
16502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (32%)
KO/TKO
20 (53%)
10 (45%)
Submission
5 (13%)
5 (23%)
Decision
13 (34%)

Combat Edge model read

Vener Galiev75%
Gesias Cavalcante 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Vener Galiev a 75% favorite over Gesias Cavalcante in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1661), separated by just 1 points.

Vener Galiev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Gesias Cavalcante finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Vener Galiev 66%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.