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Combat Edge Intelligence

Geza Kahlman Jr vs Paulo Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record0-3-0
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What's at stake

Geza Kahlman Jr is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Paulo Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Geza Kahlman JrNow 1505
If they win+21→ 1526
If they lose-27→ 1478
Paulo SantosNow 1466
If they win+27→ 1493
If they lose-21→ 1445

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Geza Kahlman JrPaulo Santos
14501500199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Combat Edge model read

Geza Kahlman Jr59%
Paulo Santos 41%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Geza Kahlman Jr a 59% favorite over Paulo Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Geza Kahlman Jr holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1505 to 1466, a 39-point edge.

Paulo Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.