Ghassen Jbalia vs Lerryan Douglas
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Lerryan Douglas57%
Ghassen Jbalia 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lerryan Douglas a 57% favorite over Ghassen Jbalia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ghassen Jbalia's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1607), separated by just 0 points.
Ghassen Jbalia finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Lerryan Douglas 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record14-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach72"
144 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamKiller Bees
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ghassen JbaliaLerryan Douglas