Combat Edge Intelligence

Gian Siqueira vs Imamshafi Aliev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-6-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach74"
175 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1595 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1640 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

Gian Siqueira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Imamshafi Aliev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gian SiqueiraNow 1655
If they win+14→ 1669
If they lose-18→ 1637
Imamshafi AlievNow 1619
If they win+18→ 1637
If they lose-14→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
100%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
19%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Gian SiqueiraImamshafi Aliev
1600165020252026

Win method breakdown

7 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
8 (38%)
Submission
2 (20%)
6 (29%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Gian Siqueira62%
Imamshafi Aliev 38%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Gian Siqueira a 62% favorite over Imamshafi Aliev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Gian Siqueira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1655 to 1619, a 36-point edge.

Imamshafi Aliev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gian Siqueira finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Imamshafi Aliev 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.