Gian Siqueira vs Imamshafi Aliev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-6-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach74"
175 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
Gian Siqueira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Imamshafi Aliev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1670
If they lose-18→ 1638
If they win+18→ 1638
If they lose-14→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gian SiqueiraImamshafi Aliev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gian Siqueira76%
Imamshafi Aliev 24%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Gian Siqueira a 76% favorite over Imamshafi Aliev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Gian Siqueira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1620, a 36-point edge.
Imamshafi Aliev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gian Siqueira finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Imamshafi Aliev 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.