Gian Siqueira vs Marcirley Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-6-0Record15-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionBantamweight
6'0"Height5'4"
74"Reach66"
175 lbsWeight135 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1698 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gian SiqueiraMarcirley Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gian Siqueira59%
Marcirley Alves 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gian Siqueira a 59% favorite over Marcirley Alves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1653), separated by just 3 points.
Marcirley Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gian Siqueira finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Marcirley Alves 67%.
Gian Siqueira carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.