Combat Edge Intelligence

Gian Siqueira vs Omar El Dafrawy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-6-0Record16-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
74"Reach74"
175 lbsWeight170 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamSoma Fight Club· 1633 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gian SiqueiraNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Omar El DafrawyNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
100%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
19%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gian SiqueiraOmar El Dafrawy
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (33%)
KO/TKO
9 (56%)
8 (38%)
Submission
3 (19%)
6 (29%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Omar El Dafrawy52%
Gian Siqueira 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Omar El Dafrawy a 52% favorite over Gian Siqueira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1659), separated by just 3 points.

Omar El Dafrawy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Gian Siqueira finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Omar El Dafrawy 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.