Combat Edge Intelligence

Gian Villante vs Michał Oleksiejczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-14-0Record22-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
76"Reach74"
261 lbsWeight185 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamAkademia Sportow Walki Wilanow

What's at stake

Michał Oleksiejczuk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Gian Villante carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gian VillanteNow 1581
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-8→ 1573
Michał OleksiejczukNow 1704
If they win+8→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.38
Sig. strikes / min
5.85
44%
Strike accuracy
53%
5.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.50
55%
Strike defense
60%
0.45
Takedown avg.
1.02
23%
Takedown accuracy
42%
83%
Takedown defense
53%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gian VillanteMichał Oleksiejczuk
1600165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (59%)
KO/TKO
16 (73%)
2 (12%)
Submission
1 (5%)
5 (29%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Michał Oleksiejczuk88%
Gian Villante 12%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 88% favorite over Gian Villante in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Michał Oleksiejczuk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1581, a 123-point edge.

Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Gian Villante finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.

Gian Villante carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.