Combat Edge Intelligence

Gian Villante vs Ovince St. Preux

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-14-0Record27-18-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
76"Reach80″
261 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamKnoxville MMA

What's at stake

Ovince St. Preux is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Gian Villante carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gian VillanteNow 1582
If they win+15→ 1597
If they lose-9→ 1573
Ovince St. PreuxNow 1678
If they win+9→ 1687
If they lose-15→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.38
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
44%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
55%
Strike defense
48%
0.45
Takedown avg.
1.09
23%
Takedown accuracy
36%
83%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Gian VillanteOvince St. Preux
16001650170020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

10 (59%)
KO/TKO
12 (44%)
2 (12%)
Submission
8 (30%)
5 (29%)
Decision
7 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Ovince St. Preux63%
Gian Villante 37%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Ovince St. Preux a 63% favorite over Gian Villante in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Ovince St. Preux holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1582, a 96-point edge.

Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Gian Villante finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ovince St. Preux 74%.

Gian Villante and Ovince St. Preux share 2 common opponents: Michał Oleksiejczuk and Maurício Rua.

Ovince St. Preux carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossTKO (Punches) · 2017
Maurício Rua
WinDecision (split) · 2022
LossTKO (Punch in Midsection) · 2019
Michał Oleksiejczuk
WinSubmission · 2019