Gian Villante vs Patrick Cummins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-14-0Record10-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
76"ReachTBD
261 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamReign MMA
What's at stake
Patrick Cummins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Gian Villante carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1594
If they lose-11→ 1570
If they win+15→ 1617
If they lose-17→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gian VillantePatrick Cummins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Cummins52%
Gian Villante 48%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Cummins a 52% favorite over Gian Villante in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Patrick Cummins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1602 to 1581, a 21-point edge.
Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Patrick Cummins enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gian Villante finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cummins 60%.
Gian Villante and Patrick Cummins share 1 common opponent: Ed Herman.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.