Combat Edge Intelligence

Gian Villante vs Sean O'Connell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sean O'Connell
us

Sean O'Connell

“The Real OC”

21-10-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1630Solid

Tale of the tape

17-14-0Record21-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
76"Reach74,0"
261 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamTBD

What's at stake

Sean O'Connell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gian Villante carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gian VillanteNow 1582
If they win+14→ 1596
If they lose-10→ 1572
Sean O'ConnellNow 1630
If they win+10→ 1640
If they lose-14→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.38
Sig. strikes / min
5.46
44%
Strike accuracy
49%
5.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.77
55%
Strike defense
45%
0.45
Takedown avg.
0
23%
Takedown accuracy
0%
83%
Takedown defense
30%
0
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Gian VillanteSean O'Connell
1600165020172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

10 (59%)
KO/TKO
12 (57%)
2 (12%)
Submission
3 (14%)
5 (29%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean O'Connell60%
Gian Villante 40%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean O'Connell a 60% favorite over Gian Villante in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Sean O'Connell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1582, a 48-point edge.

Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Sean O'Connell enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gian Villante finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Sean O'Connell 71%.

Gian Villante carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.