Combat Edge Intelligence

Gian Villante vs Tom Lawlor

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tom Lawlor
us

Tom Lawlor

“Filthy”

11-8-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1583Solid

Tale of the tape

17-14-0Record11-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
76"Reach74,0"
261 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamThe Jungle MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gian VillanteNow 1582
If they win+12→ 1594
If they lose-12→ 1570
Tom LawlorNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.38
Sig. strikes / min
2.50
44%
Strike accuracy
42%
5.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.41
55%
Strike defense
61%
0.45
Takedown avg.
2.46
23%
Takedown accuracy
32%
83%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
1.38

Trajectory

Gian VillanteTom Lawlor
15501600201920202021

Win method breakdown

10 (59%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
2 (12%)
Submission
4 (36%)
5 (29%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gian Villante and Tom Lawlor within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1583), separated by just 1 points.

Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Gian Villante finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Tom Lawlor 73%.

Gian Villante carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.