Combat Edge Intelligence

Gian Villante vs Yorgan De Castro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-14-0Record12-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
76"Reach74"
261 lbsWeight265 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamRegiment Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gian VillanteNow 1582
If they win+12→ 1594
If they lose-12→ 1570
Yorgan De CastroNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.38
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
44%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
55%
Strike defense
54%
0.45
Takedown avg.
0
23%
Takedown accuracy
0%
83%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gian VillanteYorgan De Castro
1600202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (59%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
2 (12%)
Submission
1 (8%)
5 (29%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Yorgan De Castro57%
Gian Villante 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yorgan De Castro a 57% favorite over Gian Villante in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gian Villante's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1582), separated by just 0 points.

Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Gian Villante finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Yorgan De Castro 83%.

Gian Villante carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.