Gideon Ray vs Mike Swick
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-15-1Record15-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA Masters ChicagoTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Mike Swick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Gideon Ray carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1507
If they lose-6→ 1483
If they win+7→ 1705
If they lose-25→ 1673
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gideon RayMike Swick
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Swick83%
Gideon Ray 17%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Swick a 83% favorite over Gideon Ray in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Mike Swick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1489, a 209-point edge.
Gideon Ray enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mike Swick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gideon Ray finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Mike Swick 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.