Combat Edge Intelligence

Gideon Ray vs Ondřej Raška

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-15-1Record12-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA Masters ChicagoTeamJetsaam Gym Brno· 1629 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Gideon Ray is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ondřej Raška carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gideon RayNow 1489
If they win+11→ 1500
If they lose-13→ 1476
Ondřej RaškaNow 1470
If they win+17→ 1487
If they lose-15→ 1455

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
1.49
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gideon RayOndřej Raška
145015002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (47%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
8 (47%)
Submission
5 (42%)
1 (6%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ondřej Raška63%
Gideon Ray 37%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 63% favorite over Gideon Ray in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gideon Ray's way (47%).

Gideon Ray holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1489 to 1470, a 19-point edge.

Gideon Ray enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Gideon Ray finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.