Combat Edge Intelligence

Gil Castillo vs Orlando Sanders

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight158 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gil CastilloNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Orlando SandersNow 1575
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.60
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
3.33
Takedown avg.
TBD
45%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gil CastilloOrlando Sanders
15001550160020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
2 (25%)
Submission
4 (67%)
4 (50%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Orlando Sanders76%
Gil Castillo 24%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Orlando Sanders a 76% favorite over Gil Castillo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gil Castillo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1575), separated by just 1 points.

Orlando Sanders enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Gil Castillo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Orlando Sanders 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.