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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gil Castillo vs Senan Coakley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record3-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamDublin Combat Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gil CastilloNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Senan CoakleyNow 1574
If they win+24→ 1598
If they lose-24→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.60
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
45%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
44%
Strike defense
Not available
3.33
Takedown avg.
Not available
45%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Gil CastilloSenan Coakley
1550160020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
2 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (50%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Gil Castillo52%
Senan Coakley 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gil Castillo a 52% favorite over Senan Coakley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1574), separated by just 2 points.

Senan Coakley enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gil Castillo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Senan Coakley 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.