Gilbert Aldana vs Paul Buentello
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record35-17-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
250 lbsWeight205 lbs
Brausa AcademyTeamGrudge Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gilbert AldanaPaul Buentello
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gilbert Aldana61%
Paul Buentello 39%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Aldana a 61% favorite over Paul Buentello in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Buentello's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1643), separated by just 7 points.
Gilbert Aldana enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Gilbert Aldana finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paul Buentello 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.