Gilbert Burns vs Jake Matthews
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record23-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
71"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamNexus
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1758
If they lose-12→ 1734
If they win+12→ 1763
If they lose-12→ 1739
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1777 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gilbert BurnsJake Matthews
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gilbert Burns and Jake Matthews within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1746 vs 1751), separated by just 5 points.
Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Gilbert Burns finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Jake Matthews 61%.
Gilbert Burns and Jake Matthews share 3 common opponents: Michael Morales, Sean Brady and Neil Magny.
Jake Matthews carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.