Gilbert Burns vs Jorge Masvidal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record35-17-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
71"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1757
If they lose-12→ 1733
If they win+12→ 1752
If they lose-12→ 1728
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1777 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1781 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gilbert BurnsJorge Masvidal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gilbert Burns66%
Jorge Masvidal 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Burns a 66% favorite over Jorge Masvidal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1745 vs 1740), separated by just 5 points.
Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Gilbert Burns finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Masvidal 51%.
Gilbert Burns and Jorge Masvidal share 2 common opponents: Stephen Thompson and Kamaru Usman.
Jorge Masvidal carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.