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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gilbert Burns vs Michel Prazeres

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-10-0Record27-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'6"
71"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamCoalizao Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gilbert BurnsNow 1746
If they win+12→ 1758
If they lose-12→ 1734
Michel PrazeresNow 1760
If they win+12→ 1772
If they lose-12→ 1748

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1777 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.16
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
48%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
53%
Strike defense
58%
2.04
Takedown avg.
3.94
11%
Takedown accuracy
36%
54%
Takedown defense
48%
0.44
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Gilbert BurnsMichel Prazeres
1750180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (27%)
KO/TKO
1 (4%)
9 (41%)
Submission
11 (41%)
7 (32%)
Decision
15 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Gilbert Burns67%
Michel Prazeres 33%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Burns a 67% favorite over Michel Prazeres in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michel Prazeres's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1746 vs 1760), separated by just 14 points.

Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Michel Prazeres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gilbert Burns finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Michel Prazeres 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.