Gilbert Burns vs Michel Prazeres
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Burns a 67% favorite over Michel Prazeres in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michel Prazeres's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1746 vs 1760), separated by just 14 points.
Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Michel Prazeres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gilbert Burns finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Michel Prazeres 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.