Combat Edge Intelligence

Gilbert Burns vs Neil Magny

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Magny
us

Neil Magny

“The Haitian Sensation”

31-14-0WelterweightUFC

1758Great

Tale of the tape

22-10-0Record31-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'3"
71"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gilbert BurnsNow 1744
If they win+12→ 1756
If they lose-12→ 1732
Neil MagnyNow 1758
If they win+12→ 1770
If they lose-12→ 1746

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1777 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.15
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
48%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
52%
Strike defense
52%
2.12
Takedown avg.
2.17
38%
Takedown accuracy
25%
54%
Takedown defense
55%
0.46
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Gilbert BurnsNeil Magny
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (27%)
KO/TKO
9 (29%)
9 (41%)
Submission
5 (16%)
7 (32%)
Decision
17 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Neil Magny53%
Gilbert Burns 47%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 53% favorite over Gilbert Burns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1758), separated by just 14 points.

Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Gilbert Burns finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 45%.

Gilbert Burns and Neil Magny share 2 common opponents: Mike Malott and Michael Morales.

Neil Magny carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossTKO · 2025
Michael Morales
LossTKO · 2024
LossTKO · 2026
Mike Malott
WinKO/TKO · 2024