Gilbert Burns vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record32-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'3"
71"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Gilbert Burns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1759
If they lose-11→ 1735
If they win+11→ 1780
If they lose-13→ 1756
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1777 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gilbert BurnsNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny58%
Gilbert Burns 42%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 58% favorite over Gilbert Burns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1769 to 1746, a 23-point edge.
Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Gilbert Burns finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 47%.
Gilbert Burns and Neil Magny share 2 common opponents: Mike Malott and Michael Morales.
Neil Magny carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.