Gilbert Burns vs Randy Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record20-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'3"
71"Reach78"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamBudokan Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1756
If they lose-12→ 1732
If they win+12→ 1754
If they lose-12→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1777 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1728 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gilbert BurnsRandy Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Randy Brown60%
Gilbert Burns 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Randy Brown a 60% favorite over Gilbert Burns in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gilbert Burns's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1742), separated by just 2 points.
Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Randy Brown enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gilbert Burns finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Randy Brown 65%.
Gilbert Burns and Randy Brown share 1 common opponent: Jack Della Maddalena.
Randy Brown carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.