Gilbert Burns vs Rashid Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record26-6-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71"Reach70,5"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamGorets Fight Club· 1721 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1758
If they lose-12→ 1734
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1777 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gilbert BurnsRashid Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gilbert Burns67%
Rashid Magomedov 33%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Burns a 67% favorite over Rashid Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1746 vs 1739), separated by just 7 points.
Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Gilbert Burns finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Rashid Magomedov 38%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.