Gilbert Burns vs Sean Brady
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record19-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamRenzo Gracie Philly
What's at stake
Sean Brady is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Gilbert Burns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1758
If they lose-10→ 1734
If they win+13→ 1820
If they lose-19→ 1788
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1777 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gilbert BurnsSean Brady
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Brady73%
Gilbert Burns 27%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Brady a 73% favorite over Gilbert Burns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Sean Brady holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1807 to 1744, a 63-point edge.
Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Gilbert Burns finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Sean Brady 47%.
Gilbert Burns and Sean Brady share 2 common opponents: Michael Morales and Belal Muhammad.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.