Combat Edge Intelligence

Gilbert Melendez vs Jora Ayvazyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-8-0Record18-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'6"
73,0"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Skrap PackTeamFight Club Lion Heart

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gilbert MelendezNow 1740
If they win+12→ 1752
If they lose-12→ 1728
Jora AyvazyanNow 1740
If they win+16→ 1756
If they lose-16→ 1724

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.44
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
33%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
63%
Strike defense
TBD
1.64
Takedown avg.
TBD
41%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
72%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.20
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gilbert MelendezJora Ayvazyan
170017502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (55%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
10 (45%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Jora Ayvazyan90%
Gilbert Melendez 10%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jora Ayvazyan a 90% favorite over Gilbert Melendez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gilbert Melendez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1740 vs 1740), separated by just 0 points.

Gilbert Melendez enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Jora Ayvazyan enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Gilbert Melendez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Jora Ayvazyan 56%.

Gilbert Melendez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.