Gilbert Melendez vs Losene Keita
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-8-0Record16-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
73,0"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Skrap PackTeamLamiro Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1752
If they lose-12→ 1728
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gilbert MelendezLosene Keita
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Losene Keita70%
Gilbert Melendez 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Losene Keita a 70% favorite over Gilbert Melendez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gilbert Melendez's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1740 vs 1735), separated by just 5 points.
Gilbert Melendez enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Gilbert Melendez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Losene Keita 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.