Gilbert Rael vs Israel Delgado
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-3-0Record4-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReachUnknown
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TBDTeamPanther Muay Thai
What's at stake
Israel Delgado is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Gilbert Rael carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1459
If they lose-22→ 1411
If they win+22→ 1485
If they lose-26→ 1437
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gilbert RaelIsrael Delgado
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gilbert Rael and Israel Delgado within a point of even.
Israel Delgado holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1463 to 1433, a 30-point edge.
Gilbert Rael enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Israel Delgado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Israel Delgado 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.