Gilbert Urbina vs Yota Hayashi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record13-9-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'10"
75"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight168 lbs
BMF RanchTeamReversal Gym Osaka Anne
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gilbert UrbinaYota Hayashi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yota Hayashi73%
Gilbert Urbina 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yota Hayashi a 73% favorite over Gilbert Urbina in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gilbert Urbina's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1572), separated by just 1 points.
Gilbert Urbina enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Yota Hayashi enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Gilbert Urbina finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Yota Hayashi 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.