Gilbert Yvel vs Junior dos Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
40-16-1Record23-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReach77"
265 lbsWeight250 lbs
ThrowdownTeamChampion Team
What's at stake
Gilbert Yvel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Junior dos Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1708
If they lose-14→ 1684
If they win+14→ 1656
If they lose-10→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gilbert YvelJunior dos Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gilbert Yvel52%
Junior dos Santos 48%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Yvel a 52% favorite over Junior dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Gilbert Yvel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1642, a 56-point edge.
Gilbert Yvel enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Junior dos Santos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Gilbert Yvel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Junior dos Santos 74%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.