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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gilbert Yvel vs Junior dos Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Gilbert Yvel
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Gilbert Yvel

“The Hurricane”

40-16-1HeavyweightRFC

1699Good

Tale of the tape

40-16-1Record23-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReach77"
265 lbsWeight250 lbs
ThrowdownTeamChampion Team

What's at stake

Gilbert Yvel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Junior dos Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gilbert YvelNow 1699
If they win+10→ 1709
If they lose-14→ 1685
Junior dos SantosNow 1643
If they win+14→ 1657
If they lose-10→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.90
Sig. strikes / min
4.49
44%
Strike accuracy
48%
8.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
50%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
0.30
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
26%
Takedown defense
82%
1.59
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Gilbert YvelJunior dos Santos
165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

34 (85%)
KO/TKO
16 (70%)
6 (15%)
Submission
1 (4%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Junior dos Santos61%
Gilbert Yvel 39%Elo baseline: 42%

The Combat Edge model makes Junior dos Santos a 61% favorite over Gilbert Yvel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gilbert Yvel's way (42%).

Gilbert Yvel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1643, a 56-point edge.

Gilbert Yvel enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Junior dos Santos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Gilbert Yvel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Junior dos Santos 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.