Combat Edge Intelligence

Gillian Robertson vs Iasmin Lucindo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record18-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'4"
63"Reach66″
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamFight House

What's at stake

Iasmin Lucindo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Gillian Robertson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gillian RobertsonNow 1695
If they win+13→ 1708
If they lose-11→ 1684
Iasmin LucindoNow 1711
If they win+15→ 1726
If they lose-17→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
48%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.53
56%
Strike defense
66%
2.76
Takedown avg.
2.15
41%
Takedown accuracy
60%
39%
Takedown defense
55%
0.87
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Gillian RobertsonIasmin Lucindo
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
9 (53%)
Submission
3 (17%)
5 (29%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Gillian Robertson60%
Iasmin Lucindo 40%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Gillian Robertson a 60% favorite over Iasmin Lucindo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Iasmin Lucindo's way (48%).

Iasmin Lucindo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1695, a 16-point edge.

Gillian Robertson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Iasmin Lucindo 61%.

Gillian Robertson and Iasmin Lucindo share 3 common opponents: Amanda Lemos, Marina Rodriguez and Polyana Viana.

Iasmin Lucindo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026
Amanda Lemos
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
WinTKO · 2025
Marina Rodriguez
WinDecision (Split) · 2024
WinKO/TKO · 2024
Polyana Viana
WinSubmission · 2023