Combat Edge Intelligence

Gillian Robertson vs Joanna Jędrzejczyk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record16-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'6"
63"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gillian RobertsonNow 1695
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
Joanna JędrzejczykNow 1686
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
6.28
48%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.25
56%
Strike defense
63%
2.76
Takedown avg.
0.27
41%
Takedown accuracy
63%
39%
Takedown defense
80%
0.87
Submission avg.
0.05

Trajectory

Gillian RobertsonJoanna Jędrzejczyk
165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
9 (53%)
Submission
1 (6%)
5 (29%)
Decision
11 (69%)

Combat Edge model read

Gillian Robertson84%
Joanna Jędrzejczyk 16%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Gillian Robertson a 84% favorite over Joanna Jędrzejczyk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1686), separated by just 9 points.

Joanna Jędrzejczyk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gillian Robertson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Joanna Jędrzejczyk 31%.

Gillian Robertson and Joanna Jędrzejczyk share 1 common opponent: Michelle Waterson-Gomez.

Joanna Jędrzejczyk carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2019