Combat Edge Intelligence

Gillian Robertson vs Marina Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record17-6-2
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'7"
63"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamThai Brasil

What's at stake

Gillian Robertson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Marina Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gillian RobertsonNow 1711
If they win+14→ 1725
If they lose-18→ 1693
Marina RodriguezNow 1675
If they win+18→ 1693
If they lose-14→ 1661

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
4.64
48%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
56%
Strike defense
56%
2.76
Takedown avg.
0.28
41%
Takedown accuracy
50%
39%
Takedown defense
63%
0.87
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Gillian RobertsonMarina Rodriguez
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
9 (53%)
Submission
1 (6%)
5 (29%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Gillian Robertson75%
Marina Rodriguez 25%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Gillian Robertson a 75% favorite over Marina Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Gillian Robertson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1675, a 36-point edge.

Gillian Robertson enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Marina Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gillian Robertson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Marina Rodriguez 47%.

Gillian Robertson and Marina Rodriguez share 2 common opponents: Amanda Lemos and Michelle Waterson-Gomez.

Marina Rodriguez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
WinKO/TKO · 2023
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026
Amanda Lemos
LossTKO · 2022