Gillian Robertson vs Marina Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record17-6-2
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'7"
63"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1671 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamThai Brasil· 1655 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Gillian Robertson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Marina Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1706
If they lose-13→ 1682
If they win+13→ 1665
If they lose-11→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gillian RobertsonMarina Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gillian Robertson64%
Marina Rodriguez 36%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Gillian Robertson a 64% favorite over Marina Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Gillian Robertson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1652, a 43-point edge.
Marina Rodriguez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Gillian Robertson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Marina Rodriguez 47%.
Gillian Robertson and Marina Rodriguez share 3 common opponents: Mackenzie Dern, Amanda Lemos and Michelle Waterson-Gomez.
Marina Rodriguez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.