Combat Edge Intelligence

Gillian Robertson vs Mariya Agapova

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record10-5-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
63"Reach68"
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamMMA Science Academy

What's at stake

Gillian Robertson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Mariya Agapova carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gillian RobertsonNow 1711
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-20→ 1691
Mariya AgapovaNow 1613
If they win+20→ 1633
If they lose-12→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
4.43
48%
Strike accuracy
55%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.62
56%
Strike defense
52%
2.76
Takedown avg.
0.55
41%
Takedown accuracy
67%
39%
Takedown defense
45%
0.87
Submission avg.
0.83

Trajectory

Gillian RobertsonMariya Agapova
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
9 (53%)
Submission
5 (50%)
5 (29%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Gillian Robertson70%
Mariya Agapova 30%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Gillian Robertson a 70% favorite over Mariya Agapova in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Gillian Robertson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1613, a 98-point edge.

Gillian Robertson enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Mariya Agapova enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gillian Robertson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Mariya Agapova 80%.

Mariya Agapova carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.