Gillian Robertson vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record18-13-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'3"
63"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Gillian Robertson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Michelle Waterson-Gomez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1721
If they lose-22→ 1689
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-8→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gillian RobertsonMichelle Waterson-Gomez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gillian Robertson92%
Michelle Waterson-Gomez 8%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Gillian Robertson a 92% favorite over Michelle Waterson-Gomez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Gillian Robertson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1582, a 129-point edge.
Gillian Robertson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Michelle Waterson-Gomez enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Gillian Robertson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Michelle Waterson-Gomez 67%.
Gillian Robertson and Michelle Waterson-Gomez share 3 common opponents: Amanda Lemos, Marina Rodriguez and Luana Pinheiro.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.