Combat Edge Intelligence

Gillian Robertson vs Poliana Botelho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record9-5-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
63"Reach67"
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Gillian Robertson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Poliana Botelho carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gillian RobertsonNow 1711
If they win+10→ 1721
If they lose-22→ 1689
Poliana BotelhoNow 1575
If they win+22→ 1597
If they lose-10→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
48%
Strike accuracy
59%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
56%
Strike defense
54%
2.76
Takedown avg.
0.85
41%
Takedown accuracy
57%
39%
Takedown defense
77%
0.87
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gillian RobertsonPoliana Botelho
1550160016501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
9 (53%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (29%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Gillian Robertson87%
Poliana Botelho 13%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Gillian Robertson a 87% favorite over Poliana Botelho in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Gillian Robertson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1575, a 136-point edge.

Gillian Robertson enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Gillian Robertson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Poliana Botelho 67%.

Poliana Botelho carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.