Combat Edge Intelligence

Gillian Robertson vs Sarah Frota

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sarah Frota
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Sarah Frota

“A Treta”

11-4-0StrawweightCAVE

1622Solid

Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record11-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'6"
63"Reach38,0"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamAstra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Gillian Robertson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Sarah Frota carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gillian RobertsonNow 1695
If they win+10→ 1705
If they lose-14→ 1681
Sarah FrotaNow 1622
If they win+19→ 1641
If they lose-13→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
4.52
48%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
56%
Strike defense
56%
2.76
Takedown avg.
0
41%
Takedown accuracy
0%
39%
Takedown defense
54%
0.87
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gillian RobertsonSarah Frota
160016501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
9 (53%)
Submission
6 (55%)
5 (29%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Gillian Robertson84%
Sarah Frota 16%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Gillian Robertson a 84% favorite over Sarah Frota in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Gillian Robertson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1622, a 73-point edge.

Sarah Frota enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Gillian Robertson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Sarah Frota 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.