Combat Edge Intelligence

Gillian Robertson vs Tabatha Ricci

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record12-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'2"
63"Reach 61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamBrazilian Thai

What's at stake

Gillian Robertson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tabatha Ricci carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gillian RobertsonNow 1695
If they win+10→ 1705
If they lose-14→ 1681
Tabatha RicciNow 1642
If they win+18→ 1660
If they lose-14→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
4
48%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.83
56%
Strike defense
58%
2.76
Takedown avg.
2.51
41%
Takedown accuracy
8%
39%
Takedown defense
65%
0.87
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Gillian RobertsonTabatha Ricci
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
9 (53%)
Submission
3 (25%)
5 (29%)
Decision
7 (58%)

Combat Edge model read

Gillian Robertson87%
Tabatha Ricci 13%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Gillian Robertson a 87% favorite over Tabatha Ricci in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Gillian Robertson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1642, a 53-point edge.

Tabatha Ricci enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gillian Robertson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Tabatha Ricci 42%.

Gillian Robertson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.