Gina Carano vs Hiroko Yamanaka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record12-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'11"
66"ReachTBD
143 lbsWeight146 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMaster Japan
What's at stake
Hiroko Yamanaka is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gina Carano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1623
If they lose-21→ 1575
If they win+14→ 1648
If they lose-18→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gina CaranoHiroko Yamanaka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gina Carano56%
Hiroko Yamanaka 44%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Gina Carano a 56% favorite over Hiroko Yamanaka in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hiroko Yamanaka's way (45%).
Hiroko Yamanaka holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1596, a 38-point edge.
Gina Carano enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hiroko Yamanaka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gina Carano finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Hiroko Yamanaka 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.