Gina Carano vs Jennifer Gonzalez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record0-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"HeightTBD
66"ReachTBD
143 lbsWeight140 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTBD
What's at stake
Jennifer Gonzalez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gina Carano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1622
If they lose-22→ 1574
If they win+14→ 1646
If they lose-18→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gina CaranoJennifer Gonzalez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jennifer Gonzalez55%
Gina Carano 45%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Jennifer Gonzalez a 55% favorite over Gina Carano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Jennifer Gonzalez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1632 to 1596, a 36-point edge.
Gina Carano enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jennifer Gonzalez enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Gina Carano finishes 57% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.