Gina Carano vs Julia Budd
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record17-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
66"ReachTBD
143 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamGibson Kickboxing & Pankration
What's at stake
Julia Budd is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Gina Carano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1624
If they lose-20→ 1576
If they win+13→ 1670
If they lose-19→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gina CaranoJulia Budd
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julia Budd63%
Gina Carano 37%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Julia Budd a 63% favorite over Gina Carano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Julia Budd holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1596, a 61-point edge.
Gina Carano enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gina Carano finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Julia Budd 41%.
Gina Carano and Julia Budd share 2 common opponents: Cris Cyborg and Kaitlin Young.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.