Gina Carano vs Ketlen Vieira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record16-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
66"Reach68"
143 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Ketlen Vieira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Gina Carano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1625
If they lose-19→ 1577
If they win+13→ 1677
If they lose-19→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gina CaranoKetlen Vieira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ketlen Vieira88%
Gina Carano 12%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Ketlen Vieira a 88% favorite over Gina Carano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Ketlen Vieira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1596, a 68-point edge.
Gina Carano enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gina Carano finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Ketlen Vieira 38%.
Gina Carano and Ketlen Vieira share 1 common opponent: Cris Cyborg.
Ketlen Vieira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.