Gina Carano vs Leah Letson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record5-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
66"Reach71"
143 lbsWeight146 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamPura Vida BJJ
What's at stake
Gina Carano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Leah Letson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1618
If they lose-26→ 1570
If they win+26→ 1596
If they lose-22→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gina CaranoLeah Letson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leah Letson60%
Gina Carano 40%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Leah Letson a 60% favorite over Gina Carano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gina Carano's way (46%).
Gina Carano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1596 to 1570, a 26-point edge.
Gina Carano enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gina Carano finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Leah Letson 60%.
Leah Letson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.