Gina Carano vs Leah McCourt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
66"Reach69"
143 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamNext Generation I.M.M.A.
What's at stake
Gina Carano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Leah McCourt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1619
If they lose-25→ 1571
If they win+17→ 1593
If they lose-15→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gina CaranoLeah McCourt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gina Carano56%
Leah McCourt 44%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Gina Carano a 56% favorite over Leah McCourt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Gina Carano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1596 to 1576, a 20-point edge.
Gina Carano enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gina Carano finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Leah McCourt 50%.
Leah McCourt carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.